Netflix Stock Is More Dangerous Than You Think [TheStreet.com]
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Source: TheStreet.com
Netflix, Inc. ( NFLX ) has lost 30% of its market cap since July 2018. Nevertheless, it is my strong belief that now is not the time to catch this falling knife. In fact, I argue that there is a lot more downside to come. The Elephant in the Room Most investors readily understand that Netflix has a high level of cash burn, or as CEO Reed Hastings calls it cash investment. Further, during the market boom, few investors have questioned Netflix' amortization of its content schedule. However, back in the second quarter of 2017 Netflix's 10-Q states: ''The amortization period typically ranges from six months to five years .'' Then, once we fast forward 12 months, does the quality of Netflix's content dramatically improve, giving it that lasting appeal with consumers? I doubt that. Yet Netflix tweaks its amortization schedule in the second quarter of 2018: [...] we amortize the content assets [...], over the shorter of each title's contractual window of
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