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Dividend futures suggest a decade of doldrums. Many disagree [Toronto Globe and Mail (Ontario, Canada)]

Janus Henderson Group plc Ordinary Shares (JHG) 
Last janus henderson group plc ordinary shares earnings: 4/30 04:00 am Check Earnings Report
US:NYSE Investor Relations: snl.com/irw/corporateprofile/4147331
Dividend futures suggest a decade of doldrums. Many disagree It will take a decade for dividend payouts to return to pre-pandemic levels, futures markets are suggesting, a gloomy view that is at odds with the recent equity rebound and investors' confidence that payments will normalize far sooner. The pandemic could see dividends fall by over $100 billion this year just in the United States and Europe, analysts tracked by Refinitiv I/B/E/S predict. The global drop may be as big as $400 billion, according to a Janus Henderson report. But futures are pricing worse. These derivatives, which allow punters to take a position on future payouts, imply S&P500 dividends will be 16% below April 2020 levels in 2029. For Europe’s STOXX600, futures price 2028 payouts 18% below 2019 levels. “Investors overall are still a bit cautious on dividends because people question whether or not we’ve got to the point of self-sustaining recovery or are we still simply subject to central bank stimulus etc,” sai Show less Read more
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