Forecaster of the Month: No recession as long as Fed doesn’t screw up, award-winning economist says [MarketWatch]
JP Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM)
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Source: MarketWatch
No recession as long as Fed doesn’t screw up, award-winning economist says The U.S. economy can probably avoid a recession in the next few years as long as Jerome Powell’s Federal Reserve doesn’t make a mistake, says Avery Shenfeld, chief economist at CIBC Capital Markets and the leader of the team that won MarketWatch’s Forecaster of the Month contest in November. Shenfeld says he’s encouraged by the “New Powell,” who has apparently shifted to a more “evidence-based” approach to monetary policy. “The Fed can hike a couple more times” — once next week and one or two more in 2019, Shenfeld says. “There could be a recession if the Fed hiked until the economy rolled over and died,” which was a real worry after Powell said a few months ago that the fed funds rate was a long way from neutral. Powell and other Fed policy makers have spoken more dovishly since then. Shenfeld expects the economy to slow from around 3% this year to 2.1% in 2019 and about 1.5% in 2020. The fiscal stimulus from
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JPM
Earnings
- 4/12/24 - Beat
JPM
Sec Filings
- 4/24/24 - Form FWP
- 4/24/24 - Form 424B2
- 4/24/24 - Form 424B2
- JPM's page on the SEC website