JPMorgan's Kolanovic Sees a 7% Boost for Stocks From Rebalancing [Business News Network (BNN) (Canada)]
JP Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM)
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Source: Business News Network
These money managers that form the backbone of the investing community typically rebalance their market exposures every quarter in order to obey strict allocation limits between stocks and bonds. Next week's rebalancing, for the quarter and month end, could wield an outsize influence on stock prices in the current period of poor liquidity, which is now five times lower than the historical average, Kolanovic and colleague Bram Kaplan said a note on Friday. On top of low liquidity, equities are down 21% for the year, 16% for the quarter and 9% for the month, the JPMorgan note said. “Rebalances across all 3 lookback windows would reinforce and, based on historical regression, would imply a ~7% move up in equities next week,” the note said. “Of course, rebalances are not the only drivers and the estimated move is assuming ‘all else equal.'” In May, the bank estimated that $250 billion of investments could be recovered in stocks from the sovereign wealth and pension funds by the end
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