Moody's Downgrades Ukraine as Drawn Out War Raises Debt Risk [Business News Network (BNN) (Canada)]
Moody's Corporation (MCO)
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Source: Business News Network
The agency downgraded Ukraine by a notch to Caa3, now rating it on par with serial defaulters like Ecuador and Belize. At the Caa3 rating level, Moody's expects a recovery in the event of default of typically between 65% to 80%, according to a statement published Friday. “While Ukraine is benefitting from large commitments of international financial support, helping to mitigate immediate liquidity risks, the resulting significant rise in government debt is likely to prove unsustainable over the medium term,” the statement said. A more protracted war increases the likelihood of a debt restructuring and losses being imposed on private-sector creditors, according to Moody's. The company also changed the outlook on the country to negative after completing a review process started shortly after Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February. Fitch Ratings assigns the country a CCC rating, while S&P Ratings has a B- score on Ukraine. “This is a natural consequence of the threat that the
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