Volatility: Just a correction or the end of the bull market? [Toronto Globe and Mail (Ontario, Canada)]
Morgan Stanley (MS)
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Source: Toronto Globe and Mail
A roundup of what The Globe and Mail’s market strategist Scott Barlow is reading today on the Web Morgan Stanley assesses the possibility that recent market volatility signals the end of the bull market, “The run-up in global equities has not been as strong as prior bear markets. The sideways/tighter path of US HY credit over the past year also resembles a typical bull correction episode rather than a bear market … What's looking more worrisome? Moves in rates and commodities: The ~80bp move in UST 10Y yields over the last 12 months looks more in line with the typical experience in the run-up to bear markets. Similarly, crude has rallied into the latest equities peak, reminiscent of lead-ins to prior bear market episodes … Our bull/bear 'cheat sheet' leans towards a typical correction, but with more mixed readings than February 2018” Story continues below advertisement “@SBarlow_ROB MS: Correction, or the end of the bull market?” – (research
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