Evaluating risk in an uncertain market [Advisor.ca (Canada)]
Pzena Investment Management Inc Class A (PZN)
Last pzena investment management inc class a earnings: 7/17 04:15 pm
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Source: Advisor.ca
Economies are reopening with mixed results — soaring infection rates in certain U.S. states have forced governments to pause — while equities remain on a tear since their March trough.John Goetz, portfolio manager and co-CIO at Pzena Investment Management in New York, said the uncertain economic outlook makes it difficult to evaluate risk.“Do you look at risk as the volatility in the stock price?” he asked in a late-May interview. “Or, do you look at risk as the probability of losing the value of the business? And there, I’m talking about permanent capital impairment.”Goetz, who co-manages the Renaissance Global Value Fund, pointed to travel companies such as cruise line Carnival.“They’ve been really hard hit and they’ve already gone to the market to raise capital, both equity and debt, because their cash flow is so bad,” he said.Companies that go bankrupt or need to raise massive amounts of capital may face “permanent capital impairment,” with new equity squeezing out existing holder
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