The Tell: Here’s one sign in bonds that the U.S. is poised for a sharp economic slowdown in 2019 [MarketWatch]
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Source: MarketWatch
Here’s one sign in bonds that the U.S. is poised for a sharp economic slowdown in 2019 Stock-market bulls are mistaken if they expect the Federal Reserve’s recent monetary-policy pivot, and the subsequent retreat in inflation-adjusted debt yields, or real yields, will juice growth later in 2019 following a poor first-quarter, says Capital Economics’s Michael Pearce. The U.S. economist in a Friday research note said it is unlikely that the benefits of easier financial conditions prevailing from lower yields would show up in gross domestic product figures this year. Capital Economics expects U.S. growth to slip to 2% in 2019, from 2.9%. That is relatively subdued in contrast with economists polled by MarketWatch, who expect the U.S. economy to register growth of 2.3% in 2019. See : The economy is off to another shaky start in 2019, but it’s not about to collapse Pearce says he is skeptical that lower rates “will help to drive a recovery in economic growth this year. For a start, the r
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