GRAPHIC-Calling peak inflation: Five questions for the ECB [Reuters]
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Source: Reuters
It has raised rates by a total 200 basis points (bps) since July, its fastest pace on record, to contain red hot inflation. A slowdown in the pace of rate increases may be coming, but the ECB is far from done and markets want to get a sense of where the key 1.5% deposit rate will end up. “They (policymakers) will keep sounding hawkish and aggressive as they want inflation expectations to remain anchored,” said Frederik Ducrozet, head of macroeconomic research at Pictet Wealth Management. Here are five key questions on the radar for markets. 1/ What will the ECB do on Thursday? Markets anticipate a 50 basis point rate hike after two straight 75 bps increases, slowing the pace of tightening. But the ECB is likely to stay hawkish and investors will also look for clues on where the deposit rate is going. Money market pricing suggests rates will peak in June 2023 at around 2.7%, but some reckon the rate will end up higher because underlying price pressures remain strong and
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