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Only Half of Global Rate Hikes Set to Be Taken Back by End-2025 [BNN Bloomberg (Canada)]
Last northern trust corporation earnings: 4/21 07:29 am
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After the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and Bank of England jacked up their benchmarks by a collective 1,475 basis points, only 575 basis points of reductions are in store by the end of 2025, according to new Bloomberg Economics estimates. The latest outlook, coming after a series of disappointingly high inflation readings in the US along with better-than-anticipated economic activity, is revamping the investment landscape. It offers more time to lock in today's relatively high yields, plus opportunities for relative-value bets as some central banks ease before others. The Bloomberg Economics macro-yield model back in November suggested 10-year Treasuries would end this year at 4.1%. As of Thursday, it's pointing to 4.4% — which would mark a modest drop from 4.70%. To Ana Galvao, the Bloomberg economist who built the model, “downside surprises from the inflation releases at the end of 2023, followed by the upside surprises from February” did most to reshape the outlook.
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