Alexion's Risk/Reward Is Compelling [Seeking Alpha]
ACHISON INC A (ACHN)
Last achison inc a earnings: 11/7 07:30 am
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US:NASDAQ Investor Relations:
ir.achillion.com/investor-relations
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Source: Seeking Alpha
Summary Despite an 18% move up from recent lows of $113 during the last couple of weeks, a valuation check suggests Alexion's ( NASDAQ:ALXN) risk/reward proposition is still compelling. Base Case DCF analysis, with inputs slightly below analyst estimates, shows that Alexion is trading at an attractive valuation. I used the Excel template offered by Bloomberg, but I adjusted consensus estimates to reflect a more conservative view on Alexion's Soliris. As a reminder, Soliris is the most important franchise for Alexion, generating around $2.8B of sales or more than 90% of total sales of the company. There are two main threats which could affect the leadership of Alexion in paroxysmal nocturnal hemoglobinuria (PNH) and atypical hemolytic uremic syndrome (aHUS): There are few potential competitors in development for these two orphan diseases . The most relevant threats could come from Achillion’s ( NASDAQ:ACHN) ACH-4471 and Roche’s ( OTCQX:RHHBY) RG6107.
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