One chart shows why a September rate hike is a 'hard sell' [The Business Insider]
Morgan Stanley (MS)
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Source: The Business Insider
One chart shows why a September rate hike is a 'hard sell' The Federal Reserve's latest interest-rate increase has come despite evidence that inflation is actually moving further below the central bank's 2% target rather than toward it. One chart from Morgan Stanley offers some insight into why market participants are attaching such a low probability of another rate increase in September and even doubting another move in December . Chances are, says Ellen Zentner, an economist at Morgan Stanley, in a research note to clients, the inflation rate will slip further before recovering. "We forecast more weak readings ahead before core PCE inflation finally begins turning up later this year," she writes, referring to the personal consumption expenditures index excluding food and energy costs. "This makes a September rate hike a hard sell." Morgan Stanley Some background on the Fed's calendar: The central bank meets eight times a year, but Fed Chair Janet Yellen holds press conferences a
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