One Risk to the Economy — A Slowdown in Lending: DealBook Briefing [The New York Times]
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Source: The New York Times
Lending has certainly not fallen off a cliff like it did during the Great Recession, but it is growing quite a bit slower than it has in recent years. If it doesn’t pick up, that could dampen growth some expect. In March, bank loans to companies (commercial and industrial loans, in the Federal Reserve’s statistics) rose 2.5 percent from a year ago. That is well below the 7 percent average monthly growth rate of the past three years. Real estate and consumer loans also grew below their three-year average rates. Companies also borrow by issuing bonds – and here, there is a fall off. So far this year, corporate bond issuance is down 14 percent from last year’s levels, according to data from Sifma, an industry group. Tough comparisons are in part to blame for the lackluster growth. This year’s borrowing is being compared with totals notched up during a surge in lending. And since that boom petered out in early 2017, growth rates in credit may soon look better. Also, right now,
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