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Retail Sales Plunged In February, But Huge Seasonal Adjustments Caused Them To Jump - A Look At Both [Seeking Alpha]
Last walmart inc. earnings: 2/18 06:00 am
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Not seasonally adjusted, retail sales plunged by 3.1% in February from January, to $653 billion, the lowest since, well, February last year. Gas station sales (7.1% of total retail sales) move in near-lockstep with the price of gasoline. Liudmila Chernetska/iStock via Getty Images Retail sales soar in December and collapse in January and February every year to varying extents. Huge seasonal adjustment factors are used to reduce December sales and to increase January and February sales to roughly level them out. And that was on full display today in retail sales for February, reported by the Census Bureau today. Seasonally adjusted, retail sales in February jumped by 0.6% from January to a record $738 billion (red line in the chart). Not seasonally adjusted, retail sales plunged by 3.1% in February from January, to $653 billion, the lowest since, well, February last year (blue in the chart). But year-over-year, both metrics of retail sales rose by about the same solid rate:
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