China's Bond Frenzy Fades Amid Worries Best Returns Are Over [BNN Bloomberg (Canada)]
AUSTRALIA&N Z BKG S/ADR (ANZBY)
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Source: BNN Bloomberg
The monthly return on Bloomberg's gauge of the nation's treasury bonds is essentially zero with just two trading days left in March. Coupon earnings — a gauge of interest income from the debt holdings — have fallen to a 17-year low of 0.2%, while capital gains turned negative for first month in five. Traders are taking a closer look at their bond positioning after the rally on the back of China's lackluster economic growth, dovish monetary policy and the impact of cash sloshing round the system with loan demand so weak. Extra stimulus to support the beleaguered property sector may trigger a shift toward riskier assets and Beijing's plan to issue more government debt could put upward pressure on yields. Renewed concern about a weak yuan has also spurred speculation the People's Bank of China might further delay expected interest rate cuts to help stabilize the currency. “The rate-cut possibility is low in the second quarter in our view and loose liquidity may normalize as govern
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