The tariffs are raising $100 billion less than Trump expected. Pantheon Macro sees 3 reasons why, starting with China [Fortune]
Apollo Global Management, Inc. (New) (APO)
Last apollo global management, inc. (new) earnings: 5/1 07:00 am
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Source: Fortune
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent predicted in August that tariffs would raise “well over half a trillion, maybe towards a trillion-dollar number,” but data compiled through November 25 implies that customs and excise taxes annualize to only $400 billion. This shortfall stems from an Average Effective Tariff Rate (AETR) that is far lower than anticipated. The AETR is currently estimated at just 12%, falling significantly short of the near-20% widely expected earlier this spring. Even the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) was surprised, reducing its estimate of the pre-substitution tariff rate to 16.5% from 20.5% last month. Pantheon Macro Chief U.S. Economist Samuel Tombs and Senior U.S. Economist Oliver Allen identified three primary factors driving the lower-than-expected AETR, starting with the U.S.'s relationship with China. In short, the plunge in trading activity with China isn't being made up for with fresh tariff revenue. 1. China imports plunge and rerouting The first ma
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News
- Tariffs and the $38 trillion national debt: Kevin Hassett sees ‘big reductions' in deficit while Scott Bessent sees a ‘shrinking ice cube' [Fortune]Fortune
- Apollo's Jim Zelter Looks Ahead to 2026 [Yahoo! Finance]Yahoo! Finance
- Apollo to Present at the Goldman Sachs 2025 US Financial Services ConferenceGlobeNewswire
- Blackstone, Apollo, KKR said to join U.K. private-credit stress test [Seeking Alpha]Seeking Alpha
- Is Apollo Global Management's Recent Comeback a Sign of Further Upside in 2025? [Yahoo! Finance]Yahoo! Finance
APO
Earnings
- 11/4/25 - Beat
APO
Sec Filings
- 12/3/25 - Form 4
- 12/3/25 - Form 4
- 12/3/25 - Form 4
- APO's page on the SEC website