Factbox: What analysts have to say about Evergrande as default risks rise [Reuters]
Barclays PLC (BCS)
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Company Research
Source: Reuters
investors are looking for possible intervention by Beijing to stem any domino effects across the global economy.L1N2QN02R Here are some highlights of what analysts have been saying about the cash-strapped company and the risks to the financial system in the event Evergrande (3333.HK) collapses. All comments are from research reports published this week. JPMORGAN "Without a doubt, the company's overleveraged balance sheet made it vulnerable, but the fast deterioration has been accelerated by the government's policies, i.e. the three red lines imposed on developers and the property lending limit imposed on banks." "These have led to a liquidity squeeze for the whole sector and not just for Evergrande. Several weaker developers that have some near-term refinancing needs are already showing signs of distress with their bonds now trading at 50-60. Indeed, we could potentially see 11 defaults totaling $30 billion (or 23% default rate for the sector) this year, based on our estimates
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