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Treasury Yields to Stay Elevated on Supply Deluge, Barclays Says [Yahoo! Finance Canada]

Barclays PLC (BCS) 
(Bloomberg) -- A glut of Treasury issuance will outweigh any Federal Reserve policy pivot to keep long-term yields elevated and pressure global bonds, according to Barclays Plc. Most Read from Bloomberg “Long-term yields in the US are likely to remain high, even if the Fed cuts rates,” the bank's strategists Jeffrey Meli and Ajay Rajadhyaksha wrote in a note. “Studies suggest that a one percentage-point increase in the projected deficit-GDP ratio pushes up the 10-year Treasury yield by 20 basis points.” ADVERTISEMENT The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield jumped to a six-month high in April as resilient US economic data prompted traders to pare back on their expectations for Fed rate cuts this year. Concern over heavy debt supply has the potential to further hurt demand for US debt. The changing composition of Treasury buyers could also affect pricing for the securities, according to Barclays. Foreign central banks used to be major buyers of Treasuries but their appetite has Show less Read more
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