Citi, JPMorgan See Carry Trade Revival as Fed Hawkisness Spreads [BNN Bloomberg (Canada)]
Citigroup, Inc. (C)
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Source: BNN Bloomberg
developing central banks, according to strategists from Citigroup Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. “We have made the case in the past that emerging-market carry was historically high but would likely have normalized by mid-2024. This now looks less likely, keeping the carry baskets more attractive,” Citi strategists including Dirk Willer said in a report. “Hawkishness has been spreading from the Fed to many EM central banks, which is not atypical in a strong dollar environment.” The clearest move came from the central bank of Brazil, they said, adding that the monetary authority removed guidance for a 50 basis-point cut in interest rates and suggested a slowdown in easing instead. “But it was not just Brazil. Even central banks in central and eastern European countries, which could and maybe should rely more on the ECB, were aligning their speeches more with the increased caution from the Fed, rather than the more dovish ECB language.” Read more: Brazil's Revised Rate Outlook Is Sy
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Sec Filings
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- 5/3/24 - Form 10-Q
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