US Election Risks Are Starting to Show Up in Foreign Exchange Markets [BNN Bloomberg (Canada)]
Citigroup, Inc. (C)
Last citigroup, inc. earnings: 4/15 08:00 am
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US:NYSE Investor Relations:
citigroup.com/citi/investor/pres.htm
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Source: BNN Bloomberg
That concern is particularly pronounced in options betting on the Chinese offshore yuan, with the spread between six- and three-month implied volatility for the currency soaring for a second day. The spread rose to 1.20 percentage point on Tuesday, up from 0.73 percentage point on Friday, the biggest increase since 2011 when that information first became available, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Traders appear to have factored in a binary scenario, with a win by Donald Trump likely leading to a surge in volatility and a major selloff in the offshore yuan. That setup is reminiscent of 2016, when Trump was first running for president. Back then, the Mexican peso served as a bellwether for currency-market sentiment and Trump's victory caused volatility to soar toward crisis levels. This time, the Chinese yuan is likely to take that role, leaving options traders on the edge. With six-month volatility now covering election day and three-month volatility expiring in August,
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