Posthaste: CIBC warns Canada's housing market is in rougher shape than we thought [Yahoo! Finance Canada]
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Source: Yahoo! Finance Canada
chunk of our GDP than most other G7 countries, what does that mean for the economy? CIBC economists Benjamin Tal and Katherine Judge looked at this question in a report out yesterday, and concluded that not only is the economic impact “not trivial,” the damage is deeper than some officials statistics would suggest. Housing starts in Canada on the surface appear remarkably resilient, advancing five per cent in 2025 from the year before, according to data from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation But CIBC says the reality is much weaker. Since the CMHC measures housing starts only when the foundation is poured, the start, especially in large multi-family buildings, is only being recorded one to two years after a project has begun. “Simply put, today's high rise housing starts statistics inform us about activity in late 2024, and not about the here and now,” said Tal and Judge. Drawing information from Urbanation and Zonda, CIBC estimates that the real level of housing s
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