Bitcoin's next big test is breaking through $100,000: Asia Morning Briefing [Yahoo! Finance]
Coinbase Global, Inc. - 3Class A (COIN)
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Source: Yahoo! Finance
Prediction markets show a 54% probability that bitcoin reaches $100,000 in January, according to one contract on Polymarket , making it the most likely outcome by a wide margin. Odds fall sharply above that level, with just a 22% chance of $105,000 and an 8% chance of $110,000, suggesting traders expect momentum-driven probes rather than sustained upside. Downside expectations have faded, with the probability of a move to $85,000 dropping to 15%. Market makers describe the recent rally as largely mechanical. In a recent Telegram note, Flowdesk said bitcoin's move above $95,000 was driven by a “violent short squeeze,” with call buyers stepping in as volatility spiked and skews shifted more bullish. ETF flows helped underpin the move, with more than $800 million of inflows, the highest level in three months, while improved top-of-book liquidity skewed toward bids across major venues. Enflux framed the surge as an order-flow event rather than a macro repricing. “Tests of $97,000
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COIN
Earnings
- 10/30/25 - Beat
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Sec Filings
- 1/16/26 - Form 4
- 1/16/26 - Form 4
- 1/16/26 - Form 4
- COIN's page on the SEC website