Oil's Geopolitical Risk Premium Vanishes as Fear of Wider Mideast Conflict Fades [Yahoo! Finance Canada]
CHINA RES LAND UNSP/ADR (CRBJY)
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Source: Yahoo! Finance Canada
(Bloomberg) -- Crude oil's geopolitical risk premium has vanished from the market as fast as it appeared, as the initial fear of a wider Middle East conflict faded. Most Read from Bloomberg With Israel and Iran stepping back from direct conflict, volatility has dropped back to multiyear lows and the skew has flipped back to favoring puts, as focus returns to the usual suspects: interest rates, OPEC+ supply and global demand growth. ADVERTISEMENT “On geopolitics, the probability implied from the options market of Brent above $100 by year end has reset back to 9% from reaching as high as 17%,” said Tanvir Sandhu, Bloomberg Intelligence's Chief Global Derivatives Strategist. “The price action around tensions in the Middle East is often short-lived without any signs that it's impacting oil supply. There is a fair bit of dispersion and volatility in the commodity space which creates trading opportunities.” Listen: All Options Considered podcast discussing geopolitics, US electio
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