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-0.000231696014828663 -0.000695088044485661 -0.000231696014828663 0.000463392029656998 -0.000695088044485661 0.0046339202965708 0.00324374420759964 0.00718257645968478
Stock impact report

Cenovus Energy: My Top Pick Among Canadian Majors [Seeking Alpha]

Cenovus Energy Inc (CVE) 
Last cenovus energy inc earnings: 4/29 06:00 am Check Earnings Report
US:NYSE Investor Relations: cenovus.com/disclaimerir
Company Research Source: Seeking Alpha
While all Canadian majors should profit from this, I see Cenovus Energy as having the most leverage towards both WCS differentials and a generally favorable oil price outlook. I estimate CVE can hit its net debt target by Q3, allowing for 100% of FCF to be allocated towards shareholders for a potential ~7.3% total distribution yield (peers ~6.5%). Despite strong fundamentals, Canadian oils still trade at ~20% discount to US majors, with CVE's historical premium vs. peers having eroded recently. I see a favorable set-up for CVE as I estimate the market to gradually price in lower differentials and higher shareholder returns and initiate at Overweight (PT $34). Driven by investor enthusiasm about the imminent opening of the Trans Mountain Pipeline, Canadian integrateds have outperformed their US peers and the broader energy industry YTD. I believe there is more gas in the tank as the combined outlooks for both oil prices in general and local crude benchmark WCS should provide a Show less Read more
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