Goldman now sees US debt-to-GDP ratio hitting 130% by 2034 vs 97% prior forecast [Yahoo! Finance]
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Dycom Industries, Inc. (DY)
Last dycom industries, inc. earnings: 2/26 06:00 am
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Source: Yahoo! Finance
This shift reflects a more challenging fiscal environment over the past five years, characterized by a persistent primary deficit—excluding interest costs—approximately 5% of GDP wider than historical norms during full employment periods. The debt-to-GDP ratio has already increased by 19 percentage points to 98% and Goldman Sachs says it is on track to surpass its post-World War II peak. They add that compounding the issue, interest rates on new Treasury debt have roughly doubled, exacerbating the trajectory of both the debt-to-GDP ratio and real interest expenses as a share of GDP. Goldman Sachs' updated projections consider long-term forecasts for average interest rates on government debt, nominal GDP growth, and primary deficits outside of recessions. Their analysis shows that the debt-to-GDP ratio is highly sensitive to the differential between interest rates and GDP growth (r-g). They assume an r-g differential of -0.25 percentage points, in line with historical averages
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DY
Earnings
- 5/22/24 - Beat
DY
Sec Filings
- 6/3/24 - Form 4
- 5/24/24 - Form 4
- 5/24/24 - Form 4
- DY's page on the SEC website