Can you trust Madden's Super Bowl prediction? Here's what 22 years of data tells us [USA TODAY]
Electronic Arts Inc. (EA)
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Source: USA TODAY
As part of the run up to the Super Bowl, Electronic Arts generates a simulation of the big game using its latest Madden NFL video game. This year, the pixels that be picked the Seattle Seahawks to defeat the New England Patriots 23-20 , with quarterback Sam Darnold earning the MVP honors. But can you trust a video game's prediction? Per a USA TODAY analysis of Madden picks dating back to 2004 — the first year EA ran predictions — the simulation generally beats the odds. Madden has correctly predicted 13 of 22 Super Bowls for a 59% success rate, far eclipsing the 48% pick rate of the Vegas line during the same span, per Pro Football Reference . However, that success hasn't come without its share of rough patches. A rocky start to the current generation When USA TODAY analyzed Madden's predictions by console generation, it found evidence that recent picks have been shaky — although the last couple of years might be bucking that trend. During the PlayStation 2 and original Xbo
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