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Stock impact report

Bitcoin holds below $80,000 as January prediction contracts miss liquidation-driven slide: Asia Morning Briefing [Yahoo! Finance]

Galaxy Digital Inc. - Class A common stock (GLXY) 
Company Research Source: Yahoo! Finance
For a detailed overview of U.S. markets, see CoinDesk's Crypto Daybook Americas. Bitcoin's latest slide exposed a familiar pattern in crypto markets: probability gauges drifted lower while derivatives traders scrambled for protection. As options open interest in $75,000 puts surged and hundreds of millions in long bets were liquidated, prediction markets registered only a slow erosion of upside conviction. Throughout January, Polymarket contracts tied to higher bitcoin price targets softened gradually through late January, yet they never implied the kind of abrupt volatility that ultimately erased hundreds of millions of dollars in leveraged long positions in a single day. The miss is rooted more in structure than in oversight. Prediction markets are built around end states. A contract asking whether bitcoin will finish the month above a certain level does not reward traders for correctly anticipating a two-day leverage flush if they still believe a rebound is possible before ex Show less Read more
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