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Stock impact report

Goldman Sachs has a blunt message on oil prices and jobs [Yahoo! Finance]

Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (The) (GS) 
Last goldman sachs group, inc. (the) earnings: 4/15 07:30 am Check Earnings Report
US:NYSE Investor Relations: goldmansachs.com/investor-relations
Company Research Source: Yahoo! Finance
The bank also expects the unemployment rate to rise 0.2 percentage points in total to 4.6% by Q3 2026. Higher oil prices account for about half of that increase. Goldman cross-checked its estimates against the Federal Reserve 's FRB/US model and academic research, finding close alignment across all three approaches. Why this oil shock hits differently than past ones Goldman's first conclusion is that the U.S. economy is far less sensitive to oil shocks than it was in the 1970s and 1980s. Using oil supply shocks constructed by economist Diego Känzig, the bank estimates that a 10% increase in oil prices today has roughly one-third the impact on unemployment and payroll growth compared to the 1975-1999 period. Känzig's method isolates oil supply news from broader economic conditions by measuring oil futures price movements in narrow windows around OPEC production announcements. More Economy: Goldman Sachs resets oil-price bets as war rages on How Fed meeting impacts mortga Show less Read more
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