Don’t Count the Fracking Industry Out Just Yet [Yahoo! Finance News]
Hi-Crush Inc. (HCR)
Last hi-crush inc. earnings: 2/19 05:19 pm
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Source: Yahoo! Finance News
Opinion) -- There’s one obvious group of losers from the global deal to cap oil output that’s just been thrashed out: U.S. shale producers.For an industry that needs crude prices in the low $40s to break even, current levels below $30 a barrel seem so obviously bad that America isn’t even being asked to offer a mechanism to deliver an expected output cut of 2 million barrels per day or more. Sheer economics should drive a fall of that magnitude, without any need for the sort of direct intervention that some U.S. regulators have proposed.At the same time, it’s worth asking whether expectations of a mortal blow are overblown. In 2014, the last time a Saudi Arabian-led supply splurge attempted to squeeze out shale producers, most analysts believed they needed $60 to $90 a barrel to make money.It didn’t turn out that way. Far from wilting with lower prices, the shale industry used the tougher environment to push through long-overdue productivity improvements. On the eve of the demand hit
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