Currency Market Calm Seen at Risk as Trade War Concerns Escalate [Bloomberg Business News]
ING GROUP (ISF)
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Source: Bloomberg Business News
Global currency markets have remained remarkably sanguine even as mounting U.S.-China trade tensions roiled equities. How long can that uneasy calm last is the question strategists are now grappling with. Even with U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese officials volleying proposals to impose tariffs and counter-tariffs, the J.P. Morgan Global FX Volatility Index is on course for a third weekly decline. But the foreign-exchange market could quickly lose its poise and currency swings could widen should the threats escalate into actual implementation of the tariffs, according to analysts. “Currency markets have taken on the role of a casual observer, with the initial trade war firing shots taking place on the equity market battlefield,” said Viraj Patel, a strategist at ING Bank NV. The tariff threats turning into reality “would be the catalyst for the trade war market dynamics to spillover into the currency arena. One could expect a sharp adjustment and higher volatilit
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