The Private AI Model Explosion [Yahoo! Finance]
JAPAN AIRLINES UNSP/ADR (JAPSY)
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Source: Yahoo! Finance
What's the difference? Public models — Google's Gemini, OpenAI's ChatGPT, Anthropic's Claude, et al. — currently hold the world's attention. They are all trained on the same information (the internet), the models are vast (up to trillions of tokens), they are attracting hundreds of billions of dollars of investment, and their capabilities and technology are advancing quickly. The current narrative is that these models will subsume all of the world's information and two or three of them will end up dominating the market — becoming as powerful in AI as Google is in search, Meta in social, or Amazon in cloud. It will be winner take all. That's not going to happen. In five years, 70% of the revenue created by AI will be in private models, not public models. What is a private model? First, let me ask a few simple questions. Do you think that your bank account is going to end up in a public model? Do you think your insurance policy will end up in a public model? Do you think the
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