European equities already pricing in more bearish outlook than 2022 energy shock, says JP Morgan [Yahoo! Finance]
JP Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM)
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Source: Yahoo! Finance
European equity markets are already reflecting a more pessimistic outlook relative to energy price moves than they did during the 2022 energy crisis, JP Morgan's EMEA equity research team argues in a note published on Sunday. The bank says investors are increasingly drawing comparisons with 2022, but identifies five significant differences that it believes make a repeat of that episode unlikely. The Euro Stoxx 50 index has already fallen 11% as European natural gas prices have doubled from 30 to 60, a one-time move, whereas in 2022 the index fell 20% only after gas prices spiked more than four times, from 70 to 300. JP Morgan says this means equity price moves relative to gas price moves are materially more bearish in the current episode than they were in 2022. The bank acknowledges that newsflow remains a significant source of volatility, with market sentiment oscillating between signals of escalation and reports of productive negotiations. On the economic backdrop, JP Mor
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