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-9.90687537149882E-05 -0.000297206261145246 -0.00128789379829597 -0.000495343768575363 0.00227858133544684 -0.000198137507430117 0.00257578759659209 0
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PIMCO's Recession Signal Is "Flashing Orange" [zero hedge]

JP Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM) 
Last jp morgan chase & co. earnings: 4/14 06:43 am Check Earnings Report
Company Research Source: zero hedge
The recession warnings are growing louder.Earlier this week we reported that according to JPMorgan's latest "real-time quant monitor", the risk of a recession has spiked to a no longer trivial 35%, the highest in series history (and up from 16% back in March)...... while the probability that the next presidential election will take place during a recession (i.e., odds in two years) has now surged to more than double that, or over 70%, virtually assuring that the US economy will be contracting in November 2020.Now, in a new research report by PIMCO, the world's largest bond manager with $1.7 trillion in AUM, warns that "while the expansion has been ageing gracefully", the global economy is well past its peak growth phase, and the fund's recession models are "flashing orange."In "Syncing Lower", PIMCO strategists Joachim Fels and Andrew Balls argue that while the global economy is past peak growth in the cycle, "central bank support continues to be reduced and political risk looms large Show less Read more
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