What Falling Commodities Prices Say About the Economy [MarketWatch]
JP Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM)
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Source: MarketWatch
In theory, a weaker economy reduces demand. Construction slows—copper is used in wiring and plumbing—as do sales of anything electrical. Experts differ on what this means. “Fears of a global recession have come front and center, eclipsing inflationary concerns,” says Helima Croft, head of global commodity strategy at RBC Capital Markets. Softness in commodity prices shows “real concerns about a hard landing and what that would mean for demand.” Ryan Grabinski, investment strategist at Strategas, expects demand for some metals to “end up being a little softer,” especially if building activity in China falls. But “agricultural and energy commodity demand is still there.” Yardeni Research chief investment strategist Edward Yardeni sees prices reflecting sentiment on the global economy: “Right now they are definitely pointing towards weaker demand for commodities broadly, which could only be because global economic growth is slowing.” In a note, he said U.S. oil output has risen and h
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