Why JPMorgan now sees zero rate cuts in 2026 — and a hike coming the following year [Yahoo! Finance]
JP Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM)
Last jp morgan chase & co. earnings: 4/14 06:43 am
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Source: Yahoo! Finance
Markets are still expecting two rate cuts in 2026. Investors have come to expect two 25-basis-point rate cuts from the Federal Reserve in 2026, but JPMorgan is now saying they won't get any. In a January 9 note to clients, the bank said the US economy will see accelerating job and GDP growth in 2026, as well as core CPI above 3%, making it difficult for the central bank to make a case for further rate cuts. "Against this anticipated macro backdrop, we do not see the new dovish Fed chair being able to sway the FOMC to cut," wrote Michael Feroli, the bank's chief US economist. "We now expect the Fed to hold rates throughout 2026 with the next move to hike later in 2027," Feroli wrote. He said the 25 basis-point hike would come in Q3 next year. According to the CME FedWatch tool, markets are pricing in a 32% chance of two cuts in 2026, a 25% chance of one cut, and 22% odds of three cuts. Investors see an 8% chance that the Fed will hold rates steady through the end of the year
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JPM
Earnings
- 10/14/25 - Beat
JPM
Sec Filings
- 1/12/26 - Form 424B2
- 1/12/26 - Form 424B2
- 1/12/26 - Form 424B2
- JPM's page on the SEC website