In One Chart: Why stock investors should be wary of consumer confidence at an 18-year high [MarketWatch]
JP Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM)
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Source: MarketWatch
Why stock investors should be wary of consumer confidence at an 18-year high U.S. consumers are feeling very good about the economy, but history suggests that may ultimately lead to investor disappointment. Multiple reads of confidence have come in extremely strong lately, and while many view this as an optimistic sign for spending and demand, many market watchers also see it as a contrarian signal, one that suggests a complacency building in the market. That dynamic, in turn, could signal tepid future returns. On Tuesday, the Conference Board’s consumer confidence index jumped to its highest level in 18 years , signaling a level of optimism that is near all-time highs. That comes on the heels of a reading of small-business sentiment, which hit a record in August . And as pointed out by Liz Ann Sonders, the chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab, a Gallup poll showed that the percentage of Americans who see economic issues as their biggest problem “is at the lowest level in dec
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