Two Factors That Actually Predict S&P 500 Performance And What They Show Today [Forbes]
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Source: Forbes
Simon Moore Contributor i Investing I show you how to save and invest Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange Photographer: Michael Nagle/Bloomberg There's a barrage of data and opinions on the markets, but what helps to forecast future stock performance, and what does it tell us about the U.S. markets today? Short-term predictions are a waste of time First off, let's be clear, trying to predict the market on a 12 month view is essentially a waste of time, according to a Vanguard study . No dataset has more than a passing relationship with the stock market's performance on a 1 year view. However, if we push our forecast out to 10 years, then we have a bit more success. It's still not perfect, but forecasting a decade ahead it's at least possible to have some accuracy on what could happen for stocks, even though you probably won't hit the nail on the head. Forecasting on a 1
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