The new Trump trades: how investors are navigating Iran shocks [BNN Bloomberg (Canada)]
Morningstar, Inc. (MORN)
US:NASDAQ Investor Relations:
shareholders.morningstar.com/investor-relations/default.aspx
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Source: BNN Bloomberg
With global inflation and interest rates increasingly tough to predict as geopolitics dominate the economic outlook, moving money on the basis of long-term views is proving challenging. Many investors are instead placing shorter-term bets on assets that may have become mispriced during the Iran war. Here's a rundown of some of the new Trump trades. Higher for longer oil Oil tumbled almost 15 per cent on Wednesday to below US$100 a barrel on the ceasefire but the price is expected to remain higher for longer given uncertainty over the Strait of Hormuz. Oil futures for six months' time trade around $79, higher than before the war began on Feb. 28. They have tended to drop sharply on days when a detente looks more likely and some analysts say they have swung too low. Even a successful ceasefire with no further tensions would put a floor under the oil price of $85 per barrel by year-end, said Societe Generale's global head of commodities research Michael Haigh, adding that
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