Morgan Stanley drops stunning take on GDP outlook [Yahoo! Finance]
Morgan Stanley (MS)
Last morgan stanley earnings: 4/16 07:15 am
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Source: Yahoo! Finance
At the same time, gasoline prices have risen so high that the extra cash might not translate into meaningful spending power for consumers. Consumer spending drives the U.S. economy, and the bank feels that the latest fiscal boost is unlikely to hit as big as the bulls would have wanted. Tax refunds are up 14% from the same time last year, but are near the lower end of their forecast range. Meanwhile, the average refund has risen to $346, but according to Morgan Stanley's estimates, a 15% rise in gas prices, or about $3.60 a gallon, will be enough to wipe that out. Putting it all together, Morgan Stanley is sticking with its lower 2026 GDP call, expecting real GDP growth of 2.2% and personal consumption rising 1.7%. U.S. GDP growth from 2020 to 2025 highlights an economic reset The data show that the U.S. economy pivoted from a Covid-led slowdown to a sharp snapback in 2021. In the years that followed, the numbers settled into a more moderate growth pattern. That said,
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