Energy Shock From Iran War Puts ECB Policy on Edge [Yahoo! Finance]
Morgan Stanley (MS)
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Source: Yahoo! Finance
Energy Shock From Iran War Puts ECB Policy on Edge - Moby THE GIST The European Central Bank had settled into a rare period of calm, with interest rates on hold and inflation drifting back toward its 2% target. The war involving Iran has suddenly complicated that picture. If higher energy prices persist and begin to shift inflation expectations, ECB officials are warning that the central bank's comfortable wait-and-see stance could change. WHAT HAPPENED ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos said a prolonged conflict in the Middle East could push up inflation expectations and eventually prompt a shift in the ECB's policy stance. For now, policymakers still assume the conflict will be short-lived. But de Guindos made clear that duration is the key variable. A temporary shock is something central banks can look through. A persistent shock is something that forces them to act. The immediate concern is energy. Oil and gas prices have jumped following the escalation between Iran
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