Fragile Iran ceasefire fuels 'TINA' comeback in us stocks and defence [Wealth Professional (Canada)]
Morgan Stanley (MS)
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Source: Wealth Professional
A fragile ceasefire in the US-Iran war has jolted investors back into US equities and defence – just as some strategists warn markets may be underpricing geopolitical risk again. According to Reuters , the early-April US-Iran ceasefire has revived so-called TINA (“There Is No Alternative”) trades, with investors crowding back into US assets on the strength of earnings and the economy's relative insulation from an energy shock. US President Donald Trump's April 7 ceasefire announcement pushed Wall Street to record highs, with the S&P 500 about 2 percent above pre-war levels. Global investors have since added a net US$28bn to US equities, nearly US$23bn of that from US-based investors, Reuters reported, citing LSEG/Lipper data. Earlier this year, they had pulled a net US$56bn out of US stocks, including almost US$90bn from domestic investors. Michael Browne, global investment strategist at the Franklin Templeton Institute in London, told Reuters that after a “fourth exogenous
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