India Rate Setters Counting on Healthy Growth to Lower Inflation [BNN Bloomberg (Canada)]
Morgan Stanley (MS)
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Source: BNN Bloomberg
The Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy committee voted five-to-one to keep the benchmark repurchase rate unchanged at 6.5% and retain its policy stance of “withdrawal of accommodation.” Economic expansion at an average of 8% in the past three years and expectations of good growth in the current year “give us the policy space to unwaveringly focus on price stability,” said Governor Shaktikanta Das. Inflation is cooling, but the success “should not distract us from the vulnerability of the inflation trajectory to the frequent incidences of supply side shocks, especially to food inflation due to adverse weather events and other factors.” Warmer-than-normal temperatures across large parts of the country risk keeping food prices higher, even though core inflation, which excludes volatile food and fuel components, is softening. India's retail inflation eased to a 10-month low in March, inching closer to the RBI's 4% target. While a forecast for abundant monsoon rains provides so
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