Japan's helping hand with BoE June rate cut window: Mike Dolan [Reuters]
Morgan Stanley (MS)
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Source: Reuters
Federal Reserve, then Japan's dollar-selling intervention may, weirdly, help keep its options open. announces its latest policy decision on Thursday. While its unlikely to change UK base rates this week, there's speculation about whether it may guide markets towards a cut as soon as next month - just two weeks after a widely flagged move from the European Central Bank on June 6. More dovish recent noises from senior BoE figures, not least Deputy Governor , suggest some rhetorical movement in the Bank's Threadneedle Street home - even as Fed hawks hang tough on a 'higher-for-longer' tack across the Atlantic. As it stands, money markets see a 90% chance of an ECB move next month, but less than a 50% chance of a June BoE cut - with a quarter-point reduction for the latter not fully priced until its Aug. 1 meeting. With a first Fed easing now not fully discounted in the futures market until November, that may seem comfortable for UK policymakers. However, BoE hesitation in joining
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