Jumped the gun, says Morgan Stanley; reverses December U.S. Federal Reserve rate call to 25bps cut [BNN Bloomberg (Canada)]
Morgan Stanley (MS)
Last morgan stanley earnings: 4/16 07:15 am
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Source: BNN Bloomberg
All three brokerages previously expected the Fed to hold rates steady in December. Softer U.S. economic data released late November and dovish comments from key Fed officials, including from New York Fed President and the Federal Open Market Committee Vice Chair John Williams, Fed Governor Christopher Waller and San Francisco President Mary Daly, have bolstered expectations for a cut. “It seems we jumped the gun,” Morgan Stanley strategists said. “We expect dissents, and Chair Powell will likely trade the cut for language changes in the statement that signal further cuts will have a higher bar.” Traders are currently pricing in a 87.2 per cent chance of a quarter-point interest rate cut at the monetary policy meeting on December 9-10, as per the CME FedWatch Tool. In addition, Morgan Stanley now expects the Fed to reduce rates in January and April by 25 basis points each to a terminal rate of 3.0 per cent-3.25 per cent, revised from a previous forecast of a cut each in Januar
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