Rupiah Slump May Keep Bank Indonesia Rate Cuts at Bay Until 2025 [BNN Bloomberg (Canada)]
Morgan Stanley (MS)
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Source: BNN Bloomberg
Twenty of 21 economists polled by Bloomberg expect Bank Indonesia to delay rate cuts, with most expecting an easing in the fourth quarter and a few as late as the January-March period. In other words, the central bank is more likely to stand pat on Wednesday, according to 30 of 41 analysts in a separate survey, with the remainder penciling in the possibility of a quarter-point hike in the BI-Rate to 6.25%. The survey results underline how the bar for rate cuts is getting higher across emerging Asia as a resurgent dollar and risk aversion wreak havoc on the region's currencies. The pressure is even more acute for BI, whose prime mandate is to ensure currency stability and is particularly sensitive to swings in foreign investor sentiment. “There is considerable uncertainty in the pipeline regarding the direction of global interest rates, particularly for the Fed,” said Radhika Rao, an economist at DBS Group Holdings Ltd. “The resultant volatility in the US dollar and rates is likel
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