Swedish central bank to cut key rate this week, Reuters poll shows [Reuters]
Morgan Stanley (MS)
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Source: Reuters
A large majority of the 22 analysts saw the Riksbank cutting rates for the first time since 2016 after gaining confidence that inflation has been tamed from a peak of more than 10% at the end of 2022. Only six analysts expected the central bank to hold rates at 4.00%. "We see a high probability that the Riksbank will cut the policy rate by 25 basis points," banking group SEB said. "The weak krona is a headache and we predict the board will push back against expectations for another rate cut already in June." The Riksbank will cut the policy rate to 3.00% by the end of the year, the median forecast showed. After ratcheting up rates at a record pace over the last two years, the pace of in Sweden has dropped close to the central bank's 2% target. But the economy has also slowed sharply, unemployment is rising and mortgage holders are feeling the pinch. The Riksbank at its most recent meeting in March it would likely start to cut rates in May or June and all the analysts in the
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