Turkey Is in ‘Whatever It Takes' Mode But Rate Hike Now Unlikely [BNN Bloomberg (Canada)]
Morgan Stanley (MS)
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Source: BNN Bloomberg
Policymakers have recently been extending costlier liquidity to banks than implied by their benchmark and have room to push the price of funding even higher without needing to raise rates yet. The flexibility of a wider rate corridor means the central bank can skip a hike this week for only the second time since starting its aggressive tightening campaign last June. All but two economists surveyed by Bloomberg predict the one-week repo rate will be kept at 50% on Thursday, with the rest seeing an increase. The pause will likely last through the third quarter before rate cuts begin in the final three months of the year, according to Bloomberg Economics. “Financial conditions should remain tight until you see a decline in sequential inflation or a big improvement in expectations,” James Walsh, the International Monetary Fund's mission chief to Turkey, said in an interview in Washington. “Fiscal policy should reinforce monetary policy, and in this case that would mean that the fis
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