Where is the market going? Don't trust this, or any, forecast [Globe and Mail, The (Toronto, Canada)]
Morgan Stanley (MS)
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Source: Globe and Mail, The
I figure I have as good a shot at being accidentally correct as anybody else. With no pretense of accuracy whatsoever, I forecast that the SandP 500 will decline 16% next year. There are plenty of reasons to worry about the stock market, including tariffs, share valuations and signs of euphoria about artificial intelligence. Yet there are also powerful factors in the market's favor, like the momentum thrusting prices higher, along with strong corporate earnings. Which side will dominate in 2026? We will find out after we have lived through it. I do have some important advice, though: Whatever you do, please don't trust my bogus forecast. Bad for Business Unlike me, Wall Street is perennially bullish — which, not coincidentally, makes it much easier to get people to trade stock. Consider this. If you were being told by a confident stockbroker that the market would decline next year, you might not be eager to buy and sell stock, options and futures contracts, all of which
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