Fed Rate Doubts Have Options Traders Covering Both Hikes and Cuts [BNN Bloomberg (Canada)]
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Source: BNN Bloomberg
Recent inflation data has remained stronger than had been expected, dimming expectations that the central bank will cut rates any time soon. While short positions in Treasury futures extended last week as yields pushed through fresh yearly highs, options flow has suggested growing uncertainty around the path of the Fed's monetary policy for this year, with a number of deep out-the-money tail-risk hedges appearing across a number of tenors. Read more: Inflation Data Reinforce Powell's Shift Toward High for Longer The positioning covers most extreme dovish and hawkish scenarios being priced into this year, including hedges targeting a policy rate as low as 3% by the December FOMC versus around 5% currently priced into the swaps market. On the flip side, option plays have also targeted rates higher-for-longer over the year and even positioning for one more hike has also been popular over the past week. On Friday, a trader bought March 2025 put spreads targeting the Fed to hold rat
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