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Stock impact report

Fed Rate Hike Doubts Creep Into Market for First Time This Cycle [BNN Bloomberg (Canada)]

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. (MUFG) 
Company Research Source: BNN Bloomberg
Ahead of Wednesday's Fed decision, swaps are priced for just an 80% chance of a quarter-point rate hike. That marks a departure from every other Fed meeting over the past year, in which traders have fully priced at least one such move. Instead, the debate until now has been over whether rate hikes would be in 25-, 50- or 75-basis-point increments. The relative lack of conviction underscores how complex the problem confronting policymakers has become in the wake of the first major US bank failures in more than a decade. Many investors and economists now see a case for a pause, which would allow the Fed time to assess the damage and the extent to which a nascent credit crunch among regional lenders stands to weigh on the economy. “The Fed could get away with hiking and being dovish about the outlook, but they could also get away with no hike and say they will come back later,” said George Goncalves, head of US macro strategy at MUFG Securities Americas in New York. “Market functi Show less Read more
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